The sixth named system of the young Atlantic hurricane season formed Thursday afternoon just east of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. Tropical Storm Fay breaks the record for earliest sixth named storm in the Atlantic basin by almost two weeks.
The biggest impact will be very heavy rainfall moving northward through Friday night along the East Coast from Virginia to New England.
Tropical Storm #Fay has formed off of the coast of North Carolina - the earliest 6th Atlantic named storm formation on record. Previous record was Franklin in 2005 on July 22nd. #hurricane pic.twitter.com/gJFhXbSRZJ— Philip Klotzbach (@philklotzbach) July 9, 2020
Tropical storm warnings have been issued for coastal New Jersey, New York City, Long Island and Connecticut. Flood watches have also been posted up and down the coast from Virginia to Massachusetts.2020 Atlantic hurricane season is threatening to be one of the most active in history.
Colorado State University released an updated seasonal forecast Tuesday increasing its projection of the total number of named storms from 16 to 20 — a large jump. (Normal is 12.) If 20 occur, that would tie for the second most active season in terms of storm number. The CSU forecast also calls for nine hurricanes and four major hurricanes, both above normal.
There are three main reasons for the expected active season. In the Pacific Ocean a weak La Niña may form, which typically is associated with more activity in the Atlantic Ocean. Also, rainfall across northwest Africa has been far above normal. Lastly, and most important, water temperatures in the Atlantic are far above normal, providing more fuel for growing storms.
One reason for continued active Atlantic #hurricane season forecast from CSU is warmer than normal ocean temperatures in tropical & most of subtropical Atlantic. Warmer water provides more fuel for storms & are also associated with more unstable atmosphere & lower pressure. pic.twitter.com/RWOE3z0gjR— Philip Klotzbach (@philklotzbach) July 7, 2020